MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-03-17T00:13:30
The high energy (greater than 2MeV) electron flux is expected to remain at moderate to high levels throughout. The corresponding electron fluence is expected to increase further and remain above the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold. There is also a slight chance of Very Active (1e9 integrated pfu) levels being reached from day 2 (18 March) onwards.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-03-17T00:13:30 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 100% | 40% |
| Day 2 | 90% | 60% |
| Day 3 | 80% | 50% |
| Day 4 | 70% | 30% |