MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-02-03T00:00:40
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) in the outer Van Allen belts is likely to remain well below the Active threshold. Similarly, the corresponding 24-hour fluence is likely to remain below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) throughout the next four-day period. There is very little solar activity activity that may cause it to rise above the threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-02-03T00:00:40 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 2% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 2% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 2% | 1% |