MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-02-02T00:24:04
There is no mechanism to significantly alter currently observed electron flux levels in the period. The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is likely to remain well below the Active threshold. Similarly, the corresponding 24-hour fluence is likely to remain below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) throughout the next four days.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-02-02T00:24:04 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |