MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-08-27T00:17:39
High energy electron flux as observed by GOES-16 is currently at background and forecast to remain at this level, although likely with some moderate diurnal fluctuations.
Fluence is expected to remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold through the period. MOSWOC REFM is currently providing reasonable guidance.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-08-27T00:17:39 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |