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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-08-09T12:12:50

High energy electron flux, as observed by GOES-16, is currently at background. In the absence of any notable fast wind arrivals, the observed flux is expected to remain at or near background level.

The associated 24hr electron fluence is expected to remain below Active (1e8 integrated pfu). 

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2024-08-09T12:12:50
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 1% 1%
Day 2 1% 1%
Day 3 1% 1%
Day 4 1% 1%