MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-06-13T00:17:21
The high energy electron flux is expected to persist at generally background levels for much of this period with no or limited significant sources of enhancement expected. Some diurnal Moderate flux values becoming likely into the period however.
The associated 24 hour fluence is expected to remain well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) and the MOSWOC REFM output is considered to provide reasonably good guidance, even if it seems to overestimate the levels.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-06-13T00:17:21 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |