MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-05-05T00:11:46
High energy electron flux is at normal background levels. Combined CME and coronal hole influences through the period are expected to limit electron flux at background to moderate levels on all days.
Overall, the 24 hour integrated electron fluence is forecast to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-05-05T00:11:46 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |