MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-03-05T13:26:52
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to remain at mainly background levels through the forecast period, with no significant inputs. The result of an enhancements from either the CME or coronal hole high speed stream are more likely to be realised following the end of this forecast period.
Consequently, the electron fluence is expected to remain well below the Active threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-03-05T13:26:52 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |