Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-12-29T13:21:02

High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) has varied between background and moderate levels. This is expected to largely continue, with any increase in flux likely to be modest. A more sustained increase is possible due to the high speed stream from coronal hole 86 during 01 Jan, following an initial high speed stream connection on 31 Dec.

Electron fluence is initially expected to show a steady trend, remaining below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold. A possible rise is then possible during 01 Jan in response to the increasing flux.