MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-09-05T00:00:32
High energy electron flux is expected to be moderate to background, with a slow declining trend. Any potential coronal hole interaction may give a slight increase later in the period, however this is considered a low chance.
Electron fluence values are below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu), and are expected to remain below with a slow declining trend.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-09-05T00:00:32 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |