Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-08-29T00:19:19

The high energy (greater than 2MeV) electron flux became high between 28/0200-0240UTC then dropped to Normal Background levels. It then rose permanently to high levels again at 28/0640UTC, reaching a peak of 1.07e4 pfu at 28/1720UTC. 

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to persist at high levels on most days due to the ongoing geomagnetic activity, only briefly falling during the CME arrivals. The corresponding fluence is expected to remain above the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu), although confidence is low with regards to the timing and intensity of the expected CMEs. The latest REFM output is not considered to provide good guidance and relying essentially on persistence.