MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-08-19T12:29:32
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is likely to stay at background to moderate levels, with no significant input expected from the solar wind. Some sharp declines are possible in the presence of any geomagnetic enhancements.
Electron fluence levels are expected to remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold, but may demonstrate a rising trend later in the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-08-19T12:29:32 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |