Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-04-26T00:27:06

The passage of the 22 Apr CME renders guidance from the recurrence-persistence model and REFM of limited utility, so confidence is low. A significant drop in flux has occurred since midnight UTC following arrival of the 22 April CME, which is expected to dent fluence measurements at GOES 16 for a time, however it is thought likely that they will recover into the new working week. The solar wind is likely to continue slightly elevated under waning CME influence, and the influence of a likely minor coronal hole (CH49/+) initially, before returning to an ambient slow regime.