MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-06-16T00:29:46
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) measured at GEO is expected to be at background to moderate levels, with no significant enhancements from the solar wind.
Corresponding electron fluence values are therefore forecast to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu), in line with REFM expectations.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-06-16T00:29:46 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |