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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-03-21T12:14:48

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) is expected to be at normal background to moderate levels through much of the period, although perhaps nearing high levels for a time though the diurnal cycle on day 1 (21st). Corresponding 24 hour electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu).

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2019-03-21T12:14:48
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 5% 1%
Day 2 5% 1%
Day 3 5% 1%
Day 4 5% 1%