MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-12-20T00:24:06
The high energy electron flux is expected to reach moderate levels through the diurnal cycle over the next four days. Despite some enhancements to the solar wind environment, the lack of significant geomagnetic activity suggests that only a limited electron response can be expected. With no other significant sources of enhancement anticipated, the associated electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold throughout, as supported by REFM.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-12-20T00:24:06 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |