MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-07-05T00:18:42
The flux of high energy electrons (greater than 2MeV) at GEO is expected to slowly decrease through this period, although may peak at high levels (over 1000 pfu) diurnally, particularly on days 1 and 2.
The 24-hour electron fluence is likely to remain below the Active threshold with a slowly declining trend through the period, which is indicated by REFM predictions.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-07-05T00:18:42 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |