MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-04-11T00:18:43
The high energy electron flux is expected to continue to reach high levels at times throughout the period, under the influence of the high speed stream. The high energy electron fluence (greater than 2MeV) is expected to increase in response to this, potentially rising above the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold later on Day 1 or during Day 2, and remaining above the Active threshold thereafter.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-04-11T00:18:43 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 40% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 60% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 60% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 70% | 5% |