MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-04-04T12:16:57
The high energy electron flux is expected to continue to show a gradual decline through the decline to background levels through of the period. This is due to the current nominal solar wind speeds, and there being no significant features expected to bring any enhancements during the next 4 days. Although peak daily flux values could still reach high levels at times. The corresponding 24-hour fluence levels, is therefore also expected to persist around background levels throughout.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-04-04T12:16:57 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |