MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-02-11T00:04:30
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to be at low levels through the period, with the corresponding 24-hour fluence remaining well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu). The elevated solar wind speeds seen with the previous rotation have not materialised on this period, suggesting very low likelihood of raised levels in the four-day forecast.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-02-11T00:04:30 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 2% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 2% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 2% | 1% |