MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-01-25T00:55:20
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) has remained relatively steady during the past 24 hours, with a decreasing trend showing over the past few hours. Flux levels are likely to persist at generally moderate levels through the next 4 days.
The resultant electron fluence level are most likely to remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold during the same period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-01-25T00:55:20 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 50% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 40% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 40% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 30% | 1% |