MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2026-06-02T00:18:09
High energy (>2MeV) electron flux at GOES19 is expected to remain at generally Background to Moderate levels into the period, with the chance of brief High diurnal peaks during Day 4 (05 June), as solar winds ease following the enhancement caused by the fast wind from CH62/+.
The 24 hour integrated fluence is well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold, and is expected to remain below Active levels throughout the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2026-06-02T00:18:09 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |