MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-07-26T00:20:56
The high energy electron flux as observed by GOES-16 is currently at background. Given the lack of any notable fast wind and any CME influence on Day 1 or 2 (26/27 July) expected to be relatively limited, background flux is forecast to persist.
The associated electron fluence is expected to persist below the Active level with MOSWOC REFM currently providing good guidance.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-07-26T00:20:56 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |