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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-06-28T00:10:12

High energy electron flux, as observed by GOES-16, is expected to remain at generally background levels. With no notable sources of enhancement forecast.

Associated electron fluence is expected to persist well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu), with MOSWOC REFM output considered to be giving good guidance.

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2024-06-28T00:10:12
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 1% 1%
Day 2 1% 1%
Day 3 1% 1%
Day 4 1% 1%