MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-03-15T13:03:21
Over recent days the high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) has shown a decreasing trend and is now near background levels. Given the absence of any significant enhancement in the forecast, this is expected to continue.
The associated 24-hr integrated fluence is expected to remain well below the Active threshold throughout, which is supported by MOSWOC REFM.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-03-15T13:03:21 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |