MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-08-12T00:20:24
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to be at Background to Moderate levels in this period.
While a slight rise in 24-hour electron fluence is possible in the period, Active fluence is highly unlikely to be attained, as suggested by current REFM and recurrence-persistence model output.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-08-12T00:20:24 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |