Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-12-29T00:27:54

The Electron Flux levels were at normal background levels through the 28th Dec UTC day. Some increase can be expected over the next 4 days with an increasing likelihood each day that Flux levels may exceed the 1000pfu alert level during the diurnal maximum. 

Fluence levels are expected to remain below the 1e8 integrated pfu warning level, though this forecast in relatively low confidence given the marked differences with the solar disk now compared to previous rotations. Also the collapse in Flux values observed on the 28th was dramatic and a little unexpected, though it remains unlikely that we will see an equally dramatic increase in levels.