Forecaster summary - Issued 2026-03-01T00:13:01

GOES19 high energy electrons continue at predominantly High flux levels, and this is likely to persist albeit with an overall slow downward trend through the period, unless any increased geomagnetic activity is observed from the possible inbound 25 February CME or weak coronal hole influence, over the next couple of days. 

MOSWOC REFM is showing a gradual exit from current Active fluence in the next 24 hours, however current observations are diverging from the model and are now tracking more significantly above. The overall downward trend through the period is accepted but is likely to be much slower than shown, unless the onset of any CME/coronal hole influence results in a period of enhanced geomagnetic activity. Therefore, Active electron fluence is Expected into the start of the new UTC week, but with a somewhat uncertain overall reducing trend.