MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2026-01-12T00:33:48
GOES19 High energy (>2MeV) electron flux is expected to remain at Moderate to Background levels, following the recent CME arrival. Any subsequent re-enhancement is likely to be short-lived before a further potential increase in solar winds then occurs later on Day 2 (13 Jan) from the rearward portion of CH12/-.
The associated 24 hour fluence is expected to remain at Background throughout the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2026-01-12T00:33:48 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |