Forecaster summary - Issued 2025-12-14T00:16:39

The fast wind from CH06/- now appears to be reaching a similar peak speed to that seen from its predecessor 27 days ago. This same feature then led to 24-hour integrated electron fluence approaching Active by the equivalent of day 3 (16th), before counts at GEO were lowered by the following, more modest equivalent of CH08/-. A similar evolution is expected to this on the current outing, with an eventual and short-lived Chance of Active fluence by day 3 (16 Dec). MOSWOC REFM suggests a slightly rising fluence trend in the near term, although the main period of interest falls outside its 72-hour range.