MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2025-09-29T00:11:48
GOES19 High energy (>2MeV) electron flux has been at Background to Moderate levels. There is a small chance of a limited increase in flux days 1-3 (29 Sep- 01 Oct) following mild coronal hole influence, however this is not likely to result in Active 24-hour integrated fluence.
MOSWOC REFM's forecast looks to be realistic and is considered a useful guide.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2025-09-29T00:11:48 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |