MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2025-08-31T00:29:24
High energy (>2MeV) electron flux as observed by GOES19 remains at mostly Moderate levels, and is expected to persist near this level early in the period, likely getting 'knocked down' to mainly background levels following the arrival of the CME from 30 Aug, estimated Day 2 or 3 (01 or 02 Sept).
The associated electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold, as supported by MOSWOC REFM.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2025-08-31T00:29:24 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |