MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2025-08-30T00:15:12
High energy (>2MeV) electron flux as observed by GOES19 remains at mostly moderate levels, and is expected to persist near this level. There are no significant solar wind enhancements anticipated, with any interaction with CH74/- fast winds expected to be minor, and therefore unlikely to influence the electron counts at GEO.
The associated electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold, as supported by MOSWOC REFM.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2025-08-30T00:15:12 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |