MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2025-08-29T00:21:26
High energy (>2MeV) electron flux as observed by GOES19 remains at Moderate to normal Background levels, and is expected to persist at these levels. There are no significant solar wind enhancements anticipated, with any further interaction with CH73/- fast winds now expected to be unlikely, and therefore will not influence the electron counts at GEO.
The associated electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold, as supported by MOSWOC REFM.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2025-08-29T00:21:26 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |