MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2025-08-28T00:18:41
High energy (>2MeV) electron flux as observed by GOES19 has been Moderate to Background, and is expected to persist at this level. There are no significant solar wind enhancements anticipated, with any further interaction with CH73/- fast winds now expected to be minimal, and unlikely to have a significant impact on the electron counts at GEO.
The associated electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold, as supported by MOSWOC REFM.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2025-08-28T00:18:41 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |