Forecaster summary - Issued 2025-08-06T00:15:45

High-energy electron flux at GEO remains mostly at Moderate levels, with minimal response to the recent fast wind from CH68/-. As the fast wind subsides, diurnally high flux levels are possible in the coming days. However, a potential glancing CME impact later on Day 1 (06 Aug) may affect this trend. Further CME and high-speed stream HSS influences expected later in the period are likely to return flux levels to background from late Day 3 (08 Aug) onward.

MOSWOC REFM's current forecast of a largely flat trend is accepted. However, there is a Slight Chance of this rising before the flux likely returns to background levels later in the period.