MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2025-08-05T00:22:42
High energy electron flux at GEO is currently at mostly Moderate, having shown little reaction to the previous fast wind from CH68/-. The forecast inherits a large proportion of the uncertainty from the geomagnetic conditions. MOSWOC REFM's current forecast of a largely flat trend is accepted. However, there is a Slight Chance of this rising in response to any intervening CME activity.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2025-08-05T00:22:42 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 30% | 1% |