MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2025-07-27T00:09:29
High energy electron flux levels at GEO have been elevated in recent days. The uncertain arrival of the 23 July CME may cause a redistribution of electron counts, with a possible decline followed by a modest and uncertain recovery heading into the new UTC working week. Recurrence and Met Office REFM output both suggest maintaining Active fluence, at least in the short term and this is followed but with decreasing confidence through the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2025-07-27T00:09:29 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 100% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 80% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 40% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |