MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2025-06-11T00:11:20
The greater than 2MeV electron flux observed at GEO by GOES19 has been at background to moderate levels, and on a flat trend. Little significant change is anticipated in the next few days, with some uncertainty in how much influence CH56/- may bring, along with any potential glancing impact from the 08 Jun CME.
Overall , MOSWOC REFM is considered reasonable guidance with the 24-hour electron fluence most likely to remain below the Active threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2025-06-11T00:11:20 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |