MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2025-06-03T00:17:11
Electron flux unexpectedly rose to High levels on 2 June before returning to background levels. As geomagnetic activity wanes high energy electron flux at GEO should recover, although the magnitude to which this occurs is uncertain - in the wake of the CME. Overall, there is considered a Chance of Active electron fluence being reached over the 4 day period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2025-06-03T00:17:11 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 30% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 40% | 5% |
| Day 4 | 50% | 5% |