MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2025-03-24T13:14:26
GOES16 High energy (>2MeV) Electron flux has been at background to moderate levels. With CH HSS influences expected through the period, flux levels will probably become diurnally high by Days 3 and 4 (26 and 27 Mar) and beyond.
MOSWOC REFM shows the electron fluence should remain below the Active threshold throughout the period, and is considered reasonable guidance with moderate confidence currently.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2025-03-24T13:14:26 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |