MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2025-03-06T00:31:47
The high-energy electron flux (>2MeV), as observed at GOES16, has been Normal Background to Moderate which is expected to continue. No further enhancements are forecast.
The associated 24-hour fluence is declining and is likely to remain below Active as indicated by MOSWOC REFM guidance output.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2025-03-06T00:31:47 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |