Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-11-02T13:29:44

High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to continue to vary between Moderate and High levels initially as the solar wind pressure resulting from CH66/+ continues to subside. A gradual day-on-day decrease in diurnal maxima is probable during the period, with more persistently background or Moderate levels likely by days 3 and 4 (04-05 Nov). 

Electron fluence has exceeded the Active (greater than 1e8 integrated pfu) threshold and is expected to remain above this level through the remainder of day 1 (02 Nov) and at least part of day 2 (03 Nov). There is still a chance of remaining above the Active threshold into day 3 (04 Nov), but should return below these levels by day 4 (05 Nov).