Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-11-01T13:29:35

High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to continue to vary between Moderate and High levels initially due to the legacy of the high speed stream from CH66/+. A gradual day-on-day decrease in diurnal maxima is likely through the period, with more persistently background or Moderate levels expected by day 4 (04 Nov). 

Electron fluence values remain just below the Active (greater than 1e8 integrated pfu) threshold. There is a chance of reaching the Active threshold between days 1-3 (01-03 Nov) with the greatest likelihood of exceeding the Active threshold on day 1 (01 Nov). There is a gradual reduction in probabilities in the following days.