MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-08-18T00:28:27
The high energy (greater than 2 MeV) electron flux is at background, and with no significant solar wind enhancements through the period is expected to remain at this level throughout. There is a slight chance of rising to Moderate at periods of diurnal maximum.
The associated 24 hour fluence is expected to remain well below the Active threshold, as supported by REFM which is currently giving good guidance.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2023-08-18T00:28:27 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |