Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-07-02T00:35:28

The current slightly enhanced solar wind from CH18/- will probably slowly decline in the coming days, but may be replaced by a weak enhancement from CH20/+ on day 3 (04 Jul). A continuation of flux and fluence levels near those seen at present (Moderate to diurnally High) is the most likely scenario during the forecast period, although with a gradual reduction likely later in the period. Therefore, the guidance offered by Met Office REFM is considered to be good. However, the potential arrival of the low confidence CME on day 3 (04 Jul) combined with the potential onset of CH20/+, may enhance geomagnetic activity and lower the electron cloud at a much quicker rate than indicated.