Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-06-11T00:24:47

High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to be at mainly background levels through the period. Should connection to high speed streams from either CH10/+ or CH11/+ occur, then flux levels may increase to moderate to high (1e3 pfu) levels, with the high threshold being increasingly exceeded on diurnal peaks. This is low confidence however. 

Electron fluence is not expected to exceed the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold with any high speed stream that connects to Earth expected to be relatively muted. The MOSWOC REFM model suggests that any fluence levels will remain well below the Active threshold, and the British Antarctic Survey Radiation Belt Model (BAS-RBM) supports the idea that the greatest populations of electrons will be below GEO.