Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-06-07T12:35:12

High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to remain at mainly background to moderate levels through the period. The possibility of a CME glancing blow Days 2-3 (08-09 June) may also keep electron levels suppressed, although could produce charging towards the end of the forecast period. Confidence in any CME arrivals is low, with a chance they may miss Earth entirely.

Electron fluence is well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold. It is expected to stay below Active through this period, although a rise is possible Days 3-4 (09-10 June), but this is low confidence. MOSWOC REFM is forecasting an increasing trend, but remaining well below Active levels. This is considered to be reasonable guidance at this stage.