MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-06-03T00:20:24
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to remain at mainly background to moderate levels through the period, in the absence of significant modification from solar wind effects. The recent high speed stream appears to have declined towards background, and with no further high speed streams or CMEs expected, there is no clear method for the flux to increase.
Electron fluence is following a steady trend, with this expected to continue in the absence of an increase of flux values.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2023-06-03T00:20:24 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |