MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2023-05-18T00:10:02
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) has remained at normal Background levels over the past 24 hours, and this is likely to remain the case through the coming four days in the expected absence of any drivers for increasing counts. Perhaps elevating a little if we get an elevated wind from coronal holes 19th May onwards. The corresponding 24-hour fluence is also expected to remain well below the active threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2023-05-18T00:10:02 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 2% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |